For those who enjoy their research…

Articles & Press

Read our articles, some written for other publications, others written exclusively for the Kedrec audience.

The Market with Context

A Lesson in Investments

July 24, 20252 min read

This article was originally published in our weekly newsletter.

The market has whipped around a lot lately.

Some of the daily swings in certain positions may have made you uneasy at times.

This is why the term risk is used.

Risk refers to the potential for loss over a specified period of time.

If you can afford to hold a stock or fund longer, the risk associated with that position may go down because it has sufficient time to recover.

Though the recovery is not guaranteed, as long as you are picking good quality companies, the odds should be in your favor.

Today, I want to go through an exercise of “risk” and the volatility we have experienced while using the stock Constellation Energy Group ($CEG) as an example.

Over the past month, you would have seen a couple of 5% or greater shifts in the position.

See below:

If you look back three months, you would have seen a 55% gain.

See below:

The short-term volatility isn’t so bad when you pull back and see a 55% gain, right?

If you look back six months, you would have seen a total gain of around 1.5%.

See below:

Not so good, right?

If you look back since January 1 of this year, you would see a 43% gain.

See below:

That’s better than “the market,” but it was a more volatile ride.

If you were to look back one year, you’d see around a 70% gain.

If you were to look back three years, you’d see around a 500% gain.

See below:

Past performance doesn’t guarantee future performance.

The question today is, “Is this position worth the potential growth based on today’s fundamental analysis?”

The Takeaway

Any stock can move quickly up or down.

If you pay too close attention to short-term volatility (the fluctuations in a stock's price), it may create more stress than is necessary.

Investing is about looking for high-quality companies that may be undervalued and holding them for a longer-term period of time (at least five years or so).

Things can change at any moment, which is why it is important to keep an eye on your companies and any significant disruptions they may be experiencing.

However, in the end, when things move, it is important not to panic.

Look at the fundamentals of the company.

Are they still a good company?

Do they have good financials?

Are they profitable?

If the answer is yes, then it may make sense to wait for the recovery.

Back to Blog

Ready To Get Your House In Order?

Click the button below and tell us what you want.

Our comprehensive services are designed to help you fully experience life (financially, at least).

CREATE A RETIREMENT PLAN DESIGNED TO LAST LONGER THAN YOU

HOW TO RETIRE ON TIME

In this book, you'll discover:

  • How to run the numbers and see when you can afford to retire (It’s easier than you think).

  • Learn why many common retirement income strategies may be riskier than you realize.

  • ​Discover proprietary retirement income strategies that may be able to help you have more control over your income while potentially lowering your risk.

  • How to proactively anticipate and manage your retirement during the market's ups and downs.

  • Why it’s typically not too late to course-correct. If you have already retired, there’s still time to get on the right path.

  • And much more!

This book is a marketing publication for Kedrec, LLC

Explore Your Lifestyle and Legacy Potential

This content on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to serve as the basis for financial decisions. It should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation.

Investment advisory services are offered through Kedrec, LLC, a Kansas state Registered Investment Advisor. Insurance products and services are offered through its affiliate, Kedrec Legacy, LLC. We are not affiliated with the US government or any governmental agency.

Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal. No investment strategy can guarantee success, ensure a profit or guarantee against losses. Insurance product guarantees are backed solely by the financial strength and claims-paying ability of the issuing company.

Insurance and annuity products involve fees and charges, including potential surrender penalties. Annuity withdrawals are subject to ordinary income taxes and potentially a 10% federal penalty before age 59-1/2. Life insurance generally requires medical and potentially financial underwriting to qualify for coverage. Optional features and riders may entail additional annual cost. Product and feature availability may vary by state.

Tax, legal and estate planning services are available only to members who purchase the Fresh Wealth Plan Membership level. Tax, legal and estate services provided by our network of tax and legal professionals. Always consult with qualified tax/legal advisors regarding your unique circumstances.

This content on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to serve as the basis for financial decisions. It should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation.

Investment advisory services are offered through Kedrec, LLC, a Kansas state Registered Investment Advisor. Insurance products and services are offered through its affiliate, Kedrec Legacy, LLC. We are not affiliated with the US government or any governmental agency.

Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal. No investment strategy can guarantee success, ensure a profit or guarantee against losses. Insurance product guarantees are backed solely by the financial strength and claims-paying ability of the issuing company.

Insurance and annuity products involve fees and charges, including potential surrender penalties. Annuity withdrawals are subject to ordinary income taxes and potentially a 10% federal penalty before age 59-1/2. Life insurance generally requires medical and potentially financial underwriting to qualify for coverage. Optional features and riders may entail additional annual cost. Product and feature availability may vary by state.

Tax, legal and estate planning services are available only to members who purchase the Fresh Wealth Plan Membership level. Tax, legal and estate services provided by our network of tax and legal professionals. Always consult with qualified tax/legal advisors regarding your unique circumstances.